ANSEMFUND
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Research

What actually happens to a launch.

Before building any of this we measured the ground truth: every Meteora pool that has ever existed, and a large sample of pump's own curves. None of it is about ANSEMFUND — it is about the odds any token faces, including this one.

The platform

Almost nothing on pump.fun goes anywhere.

ANSEMFUND launches on pump.fun. So we sampled pump's own bonding curves — 59,581 of them — and asked what actually happens to a launch there.

1.22% ever graduate. The median curve that hasn't holds seven lamports. Not a rounding artifact — just nothing. Building on that honestly means assuming this token is one of them.

1.22%
curves that ever graduate
7
lamports on the median curve
0.36%
that ever hold 1 SOL
SOL raised on the curveCurvesShare of sample
Exactly zero2,3103.92%
Under 0.001 SOL48,88983.06%
≥ 0.1 SOL1,2532.13%
≥ 1 SOL2130.36%
≥ 10 SOL120.02%

Sampled, not exhaustive — pump mints on the order of 100k tokens a day, so no full count is meaningful. Pagination is pubkey-ordered, which is random with respect to token identity, so the proportions hold; the totals are only the sample.

The category

And where fees are readable, they are worse.

Pump's state doesn't expose lifetime fees per token — creator fees sweep into a vault keyed by creator, not by coin, and drain when collected. So we went where the number is readable: Meteora's pools record lifetime fees on-chain. We read all 1,559,237 of them.

~98.6% never earn $250 in fees in their entire life. Different venue, same verdict — the distribution mechanism was never what failed. For almost every token there is simply nothing to distribute.

Lifetime fees earnedPoolsShare of launches
Traded at all979,39862.80%
≥ $25021,6441.39%
≥ $3,5001,7230.11%
≥ $35,0001190.01%

Meteora Dynamic Bonding Curve, every pool that has ever existed. A different platform to the one this token launches on — cited because it is the only venue where fees earned are recoverable from chain state, not because it flatters the number.

The arithmetic

0.30% of volume. That's the whole engine.

Pump pays a coin's creator 30 basis points of every trade. That is the entire input — there is no other source of money in this design, and no amount of mechanism design creates volume that isn't there.

We measured that rate off a real trade rather than trusting the config: pump's own Global account still advertises 5 bps, which is stale. The fee program's config says 30, and a live sale paid out exactly 0.30000%.

Cumulative volumeCreator feesWhat that funds
$100,000$300a first real epoch
$333,000$1,000weekly, for a month
$1,000,000$3,000a quarter of epochs
$10,000,000$30,000a year that matters

Read it the sober way round: $83,000 of volume buys one $250 distribution. Most launches never see a tenth of that, which is why the honest assumption is that this token pays nothing — and why the design has to make small amounts distributable rather than pretend large ones are likely.

The specific failure

A pool threshold is a cliff, not a setting.

Platforms hold fees until the pot is "big enough". A token that never accumulates the threshold at one moment pays out nothing, forever, however much it earned in total. 26 weekly epochs, real 528-holder curve, measured $0.1625 claim cost.

A token earning $465 over six months — better than ~99% of everything ever launched — delivers literally zero under a pool threshold. The fees just sit there.

Token earns over 26 weeksPool thresholdWallet accrual
$41 · typical$0 · 0 wallets91.8% · 34 wallets
$465 · beats ~99%$0 · 0 wallets97.7% · 100 wallets
$8,184 · top ~0.1%93.9% · 172 wallets99.7% · 248 wallets
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